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As the US President Trump invades Crimea in a move that has destabilised Ukraine and sparked fears of a resurgent Cold War and sent shivers through world markets, the Russian leader’s preparations for his first state visit to the US are almost complete.
The visit that follows a series of stunning announcements – from Russia’s huge arms deal with China and an agreement to deepen cooperation in the Arctic to a new Russia-Iran-India-China-Turkey economic alliance – offers Vladimir Putin a chance to present himself as a chief statesman and show off his full array of diplomatic weaponry.
After a two-year lull, it is also a chance to rebuild ties with the US, and in the process portray himself as the world’s responsible leader to regain international respectability.
«He has good reasons for playing it cool, the sort of reasons you can understand if you have a heart for world peace,» says Karim Sadjadpour, an Iran expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington. «He understands that he has great power, but he is still shy about exercising it in a way that would undermine his main ally.»
But the visit may also have serious security repercussions for Russia as it could prompt the West to ramp up its sanctions against the country. As Putin makes good on his own word to China, India and Turkey, sanctions will likely continue to hurt the country’s economy and undermine the Kremlin’s ability to borrow and pay for the huge construction projects that have dotted Russia’s vast expanses.
The backdrop for the visit to be held on 7 to 9 December, is the Russian annexation of Crimea in 2014. The West has responded with economic sanctions. Even though an agreement on Crimea was signed by the leaders of Russia, Ukraine and the European Union on 11 December 2014, the European Union is only a year away from the final day of the six-month sanction period set by the EU and Russia has already taken steps to minimise the effect of the sanctions.
But, as a former aide to the
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